Newt
Gingrich introduced a unique concept into the Republican primary debate—an
attempt at a quasi-rational approach to fixing our broken immigration
system. While Newt has received mostly
derisive comments from the Right, focused almost exclusively on calling his
idea an “amnesty” plan, the reality of his plan is very different. It is NOT an amnesty plan. But more importantly for those who understand
the urgent need, Newt’s plan will NOT fix our broken immigration system.
Start
with the obvious, there must be willing participants in Congress to work with
any president to solve a problem of this magnitude. As Newt himself has pointed out, both
President Bush and President Obama have tried a “comprehensive” approach to
immigration reform, and failed miserably.
In today’s Congress, with a large contingent of elected representatives
who view any law that in any way assists an immigrant as “amnesty,” Newt’s plan
is dead on arrival. A recent “piecemeal”
bill that passed the Republican controlled House, is held up in the Senate by
one Republican Senator! This unfortunate
anti-immigrant attitude persists despite recent (and long standing) polls
showing large majorities of voters from both political parties favoring an
immigration reform plan that allows for earned legalization.
Newt’s
ten point plan is long on the big picture but short on solving the biggest
problems of all – securing our future with the right types and mix of
immigrants and what to do with all the people in the US without legal papers.
Newt’s
plan starts where all immigration reform plans must start—on the border. But Newt fails to recognize the fact that the
borders are far more secure today than they have ever been, and that they are
getting more secure each day. In 2011,
the Border Patrol recorded the lowest number of people detained at the southern
border since 1974 when Nixon was President, and that Immigration and Customs
Enforcement (ICE) deported more people than ever before. In fact, President Obama can lay claim to
being the “Deportation President” because he will have deported more people in
his four year term office than any President in modern times. Fences, patrols, UAVs and electronics will not
keep everyone out. A rational, legal way
into the United States is what really stops illegal immigration at the border.
Newt
speaks of our needs for a “21st Century Visa Program,” as if it is
something out of Six Sigma lecture, eliminating “inefficiencies” in order to
attract the best and the brightest to come to and remain in America. Here
is the sad news, even in our current broken system we are attracting the best
people, the problem is that we are quickly losing them when they realize that
our legal immigration system (the so-called “line”) has waits of up to 15 years
for workers to get permanent residence through employment, and wait times
exceeding 25 years for family immigration.
The answer is simple, and yet is
ignored by Newt -- increase the numbers of legal immigrants that come to the US
in legal categories to meet not only demand, but our needs.
And
yet, the biggest flaw in Newt’s plan is not his proposed guest worker program
run by American Express (really), but rather his “path to legality” for
“millions” of people who are in the United States without legal status. Newt proposes that only people here 20-25
years could apply for his program. Bad news Newt—President Reagan’s “amnesty”
program was 25 years ago, the numbers affected by your original proposal would
be only a very small portion of those that are unlawfully present. A more
rational approach would be 10 years, which would cover more than 63% of all
illegal immigrants. Newt also proposes
the idea that local “immigration boards” would meet regularly to determine
whether an immigrant could stay in the US.
Can you imagine thousands of these boards around the country and the
extraordinary inconsistency of their rulings?
It would be like, well, the draft boards from the 1960s that Newt
compared them to, where certain people got favors because of who they knew or
who their family was, while others were sent to the front lines in Vietnam.
The
bottom line is this—Kudos to Newt for having the courage to buck the current
(although only recent) Republican orthodoxy of “attrition through enforcement,”
favored by the anti-immigration lobbyists on Capitol Hill. But Newt needs to be honest with people. His plan has zero chance of passing Congress,
does not effectively deal with our future need for immigrants, does not address
a real resolution to a temporary worker program, and certainly does not deal
with a majority of the 11 million people in the United States without lawful
status. Newt’s plan is getting us no closer to solving
this real national problem than the failed policies of President Obama.
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